Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lapierre on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 50.6% vs Smith 52.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Lapierre leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lapierre 53.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 56.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 54.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Lapierre
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Lapierre
Smith
Last 10: Lapierre 7-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
1
Lapierre
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lapierre
3
2
Lapierre
Smith
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (527)
53.0% (1,048)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
31.8% (66)
50.0% (196)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lapierre is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (404).
Lapierre shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Smith
Home
51.8% (309)
53.9% (629)
Away
49.6% (284)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Lapierre
Smith
P1
51.0%
50.4%
P2
57.2%
51.8%
P3
44.1%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
56.0%▬
55.0%
50.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 11:08 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 3 | 01:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Feb 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Maxim Lapierre |
| Dec 16, 2013 | 3 | 19:03 | Defensive | Maxim Lapierre |