Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Thornton on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Thornton wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Macenauer shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 55.5% vs Macenauer 49.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 87.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 66.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 86.5%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Thornton
Macenauer
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thornton
Macenauer
Last 6: Thornton 5-1 Macenauer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
5
1
Thornton
Macenauer
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Macenauer
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (704)
51.1% (174)
+4.7%
Power Play
56.7% (208)
100.0% (1)
-43.3%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (67)
44.7% (47)
+12.0%
On power play, Macenauer has a +43.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Macenauer shoots left. Thornton is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (605).
Thornton shoots left. Macenauer is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Thornton
Macenauer
Home
59.0% (493)
55.8% (120)
Away
53.2% (500)
43.0% (107)
By Period
Thornton
Macenauer
P1
55.3%
46.8%
P2
55.4%
48.7%
P3
57.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
56.1%
Macenauer
44.0%▼
48.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 15:48 | Offensive | Maxime Macenauer |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |