Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs right-shot opponents — Amadio shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 49.5% vs Amadio 46.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 58.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 84.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 74.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 79.5%
79.5%
20.5%
Eller
Amadio
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Eller
Amadio
Last 5: Eller 4-1 Amadio
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
0
Eller
Amadio
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
1
Eller
Amadio
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Amadio
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (786)
41.7% (72)
+9.4%
On even strength, Eller has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Amadio shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Eller shoots left. Amadio is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (49).
Home / Away
Eller
Amadio
Home
51.2% (510)
36.1% (36)
Away
47.8% (521)
47.2% (36)
By Period
Eller
Amadio
P1
50.7%
50.0%
P2
49.0%
34.2%
P3
48.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:15 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 05:43 | Defensive | Lars Eller |