Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Bonino 50.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 75.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 65.5%
Neutral zone
Amadio 55.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Amadio
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Amadio
Bonino
Last 10: Amadio 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
0
Amadio
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
5
Amadio
Bonino
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
4
Amadio
Bonino
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
50.6% (8,315)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
54.1% (972)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
44.6% (1,693)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Home / Away
Amadio
Bonino
Home
47.3% (656)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.3% (787)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Amadio
Bonino
P1
50.5%
50.6%
P2
44.8%
48.5%
P3
46.7%
51.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:52 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 03:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:33 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 4, 2020 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 10:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |