Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Monahan 51.3% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Amadio 76.9%
Defensive zone
Amadio 78.6%
Neutral zone
Amadio 76.4%
Result
Michael Amadio favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Amadio
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Amadio
Monahan
Last 10: Amadio 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Amadio
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
6
Amadio
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Amadio
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
51.1% (11,356)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
53.7% (2,580)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
46.0% (766)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Amadio
Monahan
Home
47.3% (656)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
47.3% (787)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Amadio
Monahan
P1
50.5%
50.9%
P2
44.8%
51.7%
P3
46.7%
51.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 1 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 12, 2020 | 3 | 06:22 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 05:24 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 01:29 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 17:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 11:09 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:49 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 18:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 24, 2018 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |