Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Amadio wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 47.4% vs Rask 50.1% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Amadio leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 81.7%
Defensive zone
Rask 70.8%
Neutral zone
Rask 80.1%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 75.4%
24.6%
75.4%
Amadio
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Amadio
Rask
Last 10: Amadio 8-2 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
2
1
Amadio
Rask
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
6
2
Amadio
Rask
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
3
1
Amadio
Rask
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (1,363)
50.0% (4,428)
-2.7%
Power Play
50.9% (57)
54.3% (363)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
34.8% (23)
35.2% (54)
-0.4%
On power play, Rask has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Amadio is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,045).
Amadio shoots right. Rask is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,743).
Home / Away
Amadio
Rask
Home
47.3% (656)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
47.3% (787)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Amadio
Rask
P1
50.5%
50.7%
P2
44.8%
48.9%
P3
46.7%
50.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 09:11 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 17:54 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:07 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:40 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 03:15 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Michael Amadio |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Victor Rask |