Scouting Report
Michael Cammalleri holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Smyth on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cammalleri 50.8% vs Smyth 45.4% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smyth 53.1%
Defensive zone
Cammalleri 50.3%
Neutral zone
Smyth 53.6%
Result
Ryan Smyth favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Cammalleri
Smyth
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cammalleri
Smyth
Last 5: Cammalleri 2-3 Smyth
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cammalleri
Smyth
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smyth
1
2
Cammalleri
Smyth
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cammalleri
Smyth
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (358)
43.2% (155)
+8.8%
Power Play
57.0% (86)
50.0% (28)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
34.6% (52)
31.6% (19)
+3.0%
On even strength, Cammalleri has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smyth shoots left. Cammalleri is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (333).
Cammalleri shoots left. Smyth is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Cammalleri
Smyth
Home
46.1% (256)
42.2% (102)
Away
56.3% (240)
44.0% (100)
By Period
Cammalleri
Smyth
P1
56.2%
50.8%
P2
51.2%
41.3%
P3
47.1%
39.0%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.4%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cammalleri
52.0%▬
52.0%
51.0%
Smyth
50.0%▬
50.5%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2013 | 3 | 01:00 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 3, 2013 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Ryan Smyth |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 18:41 | Offensive | Michael Cammalleri |
| Apr 1, 2013 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Michael Cammalleri |