Scouting Report
Andrew Copp holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Copp wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 54.1% vs Chaput 50.6% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Copp 53.0%
Defensive zone
Copp 50.4%
Neutral zone
Chaput 53.6%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Copp
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Copp
Chaput
Last 6: Copp 3-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
2
0
Copp
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
3
Copp
Chaput
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (319)
52.4% (210)
+4.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (37)
42.4% (33)
-1.9%
On power play, Copp has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Copp is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Copp shoots left. Chaput is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Home / Away
Copp
Chaput
Home
57.1% (156)
52.6% (133)
Away
54.0% (202)
48.6% (111)
By Period
Copp
Chaput
P1
64.5%
46.6%
P2
53.2%
50.6%
P3
49.6%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.3%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 12:31 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:35 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |