Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rowney 49.4% vs Chaput 50.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rowney 53.2%
Defensive zone
Rowney 51.0%
Neutral zone
Rowney 55.8%
Result
Carter Rowney favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Rowney
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rowney
Chaput
Last 5: Rowney 2-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rowney
1
0
Rowney
Chaput
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
1
Rowney
Chaput
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
2
Rowney
Chaput
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rowney
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (298)
52.4% (210)
-2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
45.7% (46)
42.4% (33)
+3.3%
On power play, Rowney has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Rowney is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (249).
Rowney shoots right. Chaput is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Rowney
Chaput
Home
51.0% (143)
52.6% (133)
Away
48.0% (204)
48.6% (111)
By Period
Rowney
Chaput
P1
49.6%
46.6%
P2
47.7%
50.6%
P3
50.9%
56.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rowney
52.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:32 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Carter Rowney |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Carter Rowney |