Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backes wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Chaput 50.6% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 60.1%
Defensive zone
Chaput 52.1%
Neutral zone
Chaput 50.1%
Result
David Backes favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Backes
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Backes
Chaput
Last 8: Backes 4-4 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
2
1
Backes
Chaput
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
3
Backes
Chaput
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backes
1
0
Backes
Chaput
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
52.4% (210)
+3.3%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
0.0% (1)
+65.2%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
42.4% (33)
-2.4%
On power play, Backes has a +65.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Backes shoots right. Chaput is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Backes
Chaput
Home
55.9% (188)
52.6% (133)
Away
58.7% (121)
48.6% (111)
By Period
Backes
Chaput
P1
53.0%
46.6%
P2
56.6%
50.6%
P3
60.8%
56.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | David Backes |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 16:56 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 07:55 | Defensive | David Backes |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |