Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Bonino 50.0% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Chaput leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Chaput 58.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.9%
Neutral zone
Chaput 59.6%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Chaput
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Chaput
Bonino
Last 10: Chaput 6-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Chaput
Bonino
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
4
2
Chaput
Bonino
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
0
Chaput
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
50.6% (8,315)
+1.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
54.1% (972)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
44.6% (1,693)
-1.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Chaput
Bonino
Home
53.5% (602)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
49.8% (650)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Chaput
Bonino
P1
48.6%
50.6%
P2
51.6%
48.5%
P3
54.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:51 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:51 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 13, 2017 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:49 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |