Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jokinen 82.6%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 64.9%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 69.7%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Chaput
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Chaput
Jokinen
Last 6: Chaput 2-4 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
2
Chaput
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Chaput
Jokinen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
45.8% (3,924)
+6.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
50.8% (585)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
42.9% (247)
+0.0%
On power play, Jokinen has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Chaput
Jokinen
Home
53.5% (602)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
49.8% (650)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Chaput
Jokinen
P1
48.6%
45.6%
P2
51.6%
47.5%
P3
54.5%
45.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 07:13 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:25 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 06:13 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:48 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 07:42 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 04:08 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |