Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 51.5%). Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bäck shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Bäck 51.0% (+0.1%)
Offensive zone
Chaput 56.0%
Defensive zone
Chaput 50.2%
Neutral zone
Chaput 55.3%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Chaput
Bäck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Bäck
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
56.2% (162)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
32.5% (40)
+10.4%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bäck shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Bäck is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Chaput
Bäck
Home
53.5% (602)
52.6% (95)
Away
49.8% (650)
50.5% (107)
By Period
Chaput
Bäck
P1
48.6%
47.4%
P2
51.6%
52.7%
P3
54.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Bäck
46.0%▼
52.0%
51.5%