Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Chaput wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 52.2% vs Faksa 48.4% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 78.9%
Defensive zone
Faksa 58.1%
Neutral zone
Chaput 73.0%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 76.0%
76.0%
24.0%
Chaput
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Chaput
Faksa
Last 8: Chaput 5-3 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
4
0
Chaput
Faksa
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Faksa
1
3
Chaput
Faksa
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (374)
49.3% (959)
+3.4%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
64.5% (31)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
41.8% (232)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Faksa has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Chaput is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (261).
Chaput shoots left. Faksa is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Home / Away
Chaput
Faksa
Home
58.4% (178)
50.3% (589)
Away
47.8% (207)
46.4% (633)
By Period
Chaput
Faksa
P1
52.3%
46.7%
P2
49.6%
50.4%
P3
56.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 14:48 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:26 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:33 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 13, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |