Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Chaput wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Bennett 47.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 51.7%
Defensive zone
Chaput 85.2%
Neutral zone
Chaput 71.6%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Chaput
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Chaput
Bennett
Last 7: Chaput 6-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
0
Chaput
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
0
Chaput
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
1
Chaput
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
46.8% (5,683)
+5.4%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
53.7% (555)
-10.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
41.8% (256)
+1.1%
On power play, Bennett has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Chaput is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (804).
Chaput shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Chaput
Bennett
Home
53.5% (602)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
49.8% (650)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Chaput
Bennett
P1
48.6%
48.0%
P2
51.6%
46.5%
P3
54.5%
46.9%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 11:18 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |