Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Doan 48.3% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 87.7%
Defensive zone
Chaput 79.1%
Neutral zone
Doan 54.3%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Chaput
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chaput
Doan
Last 5: Chaput 2-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
1
Chaput
Doan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
0
Chaput
Doan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Doan
0
2
Chaput
Doan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
48.6% (451)
+3.6%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
46.3% (136)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
50.0% (10)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Doan has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Chaput shoots left. Doan is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Home / Away
Chaput
Doan
Home
53.5% (602)
48.4% (312)
Away
49.8% (650)
47.6% (286)
By Period
Chaput
Doan
P1
48.6%
42.8%
P2
51.6%
48.3%
P3
54.5%
53.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Shane Doan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Shane Doan |