Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Chaput wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Doan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 52.2% vs Doan 48.2% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Doan 76.0%
Defensive zone
Chaput 60.3%
Neutral zone
Doan 53.8%
Result
Shane Doan favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Chaput
Doan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Chaput
Doan
Last 5: Chaput 2-3 Doan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Doan
0
1
Chaput
Doan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
0
Chaput
Doan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Doan
0
2
Chaput
Doan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Doan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (374)
47.7% (149)
+5.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
46.9% (49)
+15.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Doan shoots right. Chaput is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Chaput shoots left. Doan is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Chaput
Doan
Home
58.4% (178)
50.0% (118)
Away
47.8% (207)
43.2% (81)
By Period
Chaput
Doan
P1
52.3%
41.9%
P2
49.6%
50.0%
P3
56.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Doan
44.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 09:32 | Neutral | Shane Doan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Shane Doan |
| Jan 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Shane Doan |