Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +23.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Chaput wins 67.6% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 56.6% vs Gionta 43.1% (+23.2%)
H2H factor
Chaput leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Chaput 85.9%
Defensive zone
Chaput 50.7%
Neutral zone
Chaput 82.2%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Chaput
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Chaput
Gionta
Last 10: Chaput 6-4 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
2
Chaput
Gionta
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Chaput
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
4
1
Chaput
Gionta
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
65.3% (75)
41.8% (612)
+23.5%
On even strength, Chaput has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Chaput is 67.6% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Chaput shoots left. Gionta is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Chaput
Gionta
Home
67.9% (56)
41.3% (344)
Away
57.9% (19)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Chaput
Gionta
P1
69.6%
39.8%
P2
60.0%
46.8%
P3
68.2%
39.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
65.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 16:49 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 2 | 02:38 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 15:48 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 20, 2016 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 01:23 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 15:16 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 09:28 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |