Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Bozak 53.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 65.2%
Defensive zone
Chaput 56.8%
Neutral zone
Chaput 55.8%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Chaput
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Chaput
Bozak
Last 10: Chaput 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Chaput
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
2
Chaput
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
3
2
Chaput
Bozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
53.7% (9,596)
-1.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
55.2% (1,990)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
48.0% (1,094)
-5.1%
On power play, Bozak has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Chaput shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Chaput
Bozak
Home
53.5% (602)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
49.8% (650)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Chaput
Bozak
P1
48.6%
53.2%
P2
51.6%
52.8%
P3
54.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:10 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 12:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |