Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Chaput wins 41.7% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 49.0% vs Bozak 53.0% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 70.5%
Defensive zone
Chaput 58.9%
Neutral zone
Chaput 53.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Chaput
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Chaput
Bozak
Last 8: Chaput 4-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Chaput
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
1
Chaput
Bozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
2
1
Chaput
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (273)
53.8% (1,244)
-5.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.1% (356)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (19)
49.1% (175)
+3.5%
On even strength, Bozak has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Chaput is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Chaput shoots left. Bozak is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,145).
Home / Away
Chaput
Bozak
Home
47.0% (132)
57.7% (892)
Away
50.0% (162)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Chaput
Bozak
P1
41.8%
54.0%
P2
54.4%
54.4%
P3
47.5%
51.0%
Final 5 min
61.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 15:28 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 14:12 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 04:42 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Oct 31, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |