Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 51.5% vs Seguin 53.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 51.6%
Defensive zone
Chaput 58.5%
Neutral zone
Chaput 58.1%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Chaput
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Chaput
Seguin
Last 10: Chaput 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Chaput
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Chaput
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,168)
53.7% (8,071)
-1.5%
Power Play
42.9% (14)
55.9% (810)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (70)
49.3% (762)
-6.4%
On power play, Seguin has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Chaput shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Chaput
Seguin
Home
53.5% (602)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
49.8% (650)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Chaput
Seguin
P1
48.6%
52.8%
P2
51.6%
53.3%
P3
54.5%
54.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |