Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Chaput wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 52.2% vs Seguin 50.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Seguin 60.1%
Defensive zone
Seguin 57.8%
Neutral zone
Seguin 58.1%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Chaput
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Chaput
Seguin
Last 10: Chaput 4-6 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Chaput
Seguin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
3
Chaput
Seguin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (374)
51.1% (720)
+1.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
54.2% (59)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
14.3% (7)
+19.0%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Chaput is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Chaput shoots left. Seguin is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Chaput
Seguin
Home
58.4% (178)
52.0% (421)
Away
47.8% (207)
49.9% (365)
By Period
Chaput
Seguin
P1
52.3%
50.8%
P2
49.6%
51.3%
P3
56.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:19 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 13:14 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 15:33 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 2 | 05:35 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 25, 2016 | 1 | 02:51 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |