Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 50.6% vs Smith 49.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Chaput 54.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 62.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Chaput
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Chaput
Smith
Last 10: Chaput 5-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
4
0
Chaput
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Chaput
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Chaput
Smith
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (210)
50.9% (666)
+1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
70.0% (10)
-70.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (33)
39.6% (144)
+2.8%
On power play, Smith has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Chaput is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Chaput shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Chaput
Smith
Home
52.6% (133)
50.9% (405)
Away
48.6% (111)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Chaput
Smith
P1
46.6%
47.1%
P2
50.6%
49.6%
P3
56.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 13:37 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:28 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 02:51 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:16 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 4, 2018 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |