Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Frolik wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frolik 44.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Frolik 77.3%
Defensive zone
Frolik 81.0%
Neutral zone
Frolik 82.1%
Result
Michael Frolik favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
Frolik
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Frolik
Stastny
Last 10: Frolik 3-7 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Frolik
Stastny
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Frolik
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
4
Frolik
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frolik
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (409)
54.6% (10,616)
-8.6%
Power Play
25.0% (36)
59.1% (1,994)
-34.1%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
52.9% (1,119)
-23.5%
On power play, Stastny has a +34.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Frolik is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Frolik shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Frolik
Stastny
Home
45.8% (253)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
39.5% (243)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Frolik
Stastny
P1
44.8%
56.3%
P2
41.5%
55.4%
P3
41.9%
53.5%
OT
42.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
41.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2018 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |