Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +23.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Frolik wins 30.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frolik 45.4% vs Stastny 57.3% (-23.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frolik 80.4%
Defensive zone
Frolik 67.6%
Neutral zone
Frolik 80.7%
Result
Michael Frolik favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Frolik
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Frolik
Stastny
Last 6: Frolik 1-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Frolik
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Frolik
Stastny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
3
Frolik
Stastny
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frolik
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (29)
57.6% (959)
-16.2%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
60.8% (125)
-48.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
58.1% (74)
-33.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +48.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Frolik is 30.0% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Frolik shoots left. Stastny is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Frolik
Stastny
Home
36.4% (11)
55.9% (590)
Away
33.3% (30)
60.0% (568)
By Period
Frolik
Stastny
P1
28.6%
59.6%
P2
50.0%
59.0%
P3
31.3%
55.3%
OT
0.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
23.1%
65.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
34.1%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:47 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 10, 2015 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 26, 2015 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |