Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Frolik on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Frolik wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frolik 44.0% vs Smith 50.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 76.6%
Defensive zone
Smith 94.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 88.7%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 89.6%
10.4%
89.6%
Frolik
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Frolik
Smith
Last 7: Frolik 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
1
0
Frolik
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
2
1
Frolik
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frolik
3
0
Frolik
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frolik
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (409)
51.6% (5,265)
-5.6%
Power Play
25.0% (36)
51.2% (342)
-26.2%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (51)
45.3% (985)
-15.9%
On power play, Smith has a +26.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Frolik is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Frolik shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Frolik
Smith
Home
45.8% (253)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
39.5% (243)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Frolik
Smith
P1
44.8%
49.9%
P2
41.5%
50.0%
P3
41.9%
51.9%
OT
42.9%
51.6%
Final 5 min
41.1%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |