Scouting Report
Michael Frolik holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frolik on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Frolik wins 66.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frolik 55.4% vs Smith 52.5% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frolik 82.9%
Defensive zone
Smith 65.3%
Neutral zone
Frolik 59.7%
Result
Michael Frolik favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Frolik
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Frolik
Smith
Last 7: Frolik 6-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
1
0
Frolik
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frolik
2
1
Frolik
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frolik
3
0
Frolik
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frolik
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
67.3% (55)
53.0% (1,048)
+14.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
57.4% (47)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (9)
50.0% (196)
-5.6%
On even strength, Frolik has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Frolik is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Frolik shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Frolik
Smith
Home
66.7% (42)
53.9% (629)
Away
57.7% (26)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Frolik
Smith
P1
70.6%
50.4%
P2
54.5%
51.8%
P3
66.7%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
56.3%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frolik
32.0%▼
42.0%
63.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 08:58 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 18:22 | Defensive | Michael Frolik |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael Frolik |