Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Latta 49.7% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Latta 78.9%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 87.5%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 53.2%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Latta
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Latta
Gaustad
Last 5: Latta 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Latta
1
0
Latta
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Latta
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Latta
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Latta
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (625)
58.2% (4,334)
-8.0%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
65.4% (188)
-29.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
54.8% (1,290)
-21.5%
On power play, Gaustad has a +29.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Latta is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Latta shoots right. Gaustad is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,052).
Home / Away
Latta
Gaustad
Home
51.3% (345)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
47.9% (303)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
Latta
Gaustad
P1
46.3%
58.2%
P2
52.5%
56.4%
P3
50.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Latta
44.0%▼
51.5%
49.7%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Michael Latta |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |