Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Latta 48.3% vs Gaustad 55.9% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Latta 87.8%
Defensive zone
Gaustad 76.2%
Neutral zone
Gaustad 51.3%
Result
Paul Gaustad favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Latta
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Latta
Gaustad
Last 5: Latta 2-3 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Latta
1
0
Latta
Gaustad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
0
2
Latta
Gaustad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Latta
Gaustad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Latta
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (329)
57.7% (821)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
56.3% (16)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
52.3% (260)
-2.3%
On even strength, Gaustad has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. Latta is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Latta shoots right. Gaustad is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Latta
Gaustad
Home
50.6% (162)
58.9% (577)
Away
45.1% (173)
53.7% (520)
By Period
Latta
Gaustad
P1
48.2%
53.1%
P2
46.5%
57.9%
P3
48.8%
57.8%
Final 5 min
41.7%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Latta
44.0%▼
51.5%
47.8%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 11:56 | Neutral | Michael Latta |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Michael Latta |
| Jan 16, 2015 | 1 | 18:28 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |