Jack Studnicka vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Studnicka wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Studnicka 45.6% vs McCarron 52.5% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Studnicka 87.7%
Defensive zone
McCarron 62.6%
Neutral zone
Studnicka 59.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Studnicka
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Studnicka
McCarron
Last 6: Studnicka 2-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Studnicka
1
0
Studnicka
McCarron
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
4
Studnicka
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Studnicka
1
0
Studnicka
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Studnicka
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
39.6% (53)
53.1% (672)
-13.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
18.2% (11)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
53.7% (205)
-20.4%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Studnicka is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Studnicka shoots right. McCarron is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Studnicka
McCarron
Home
46.4% (28)
52.8% (477)
Away
30.0% (30)
52.8% (411)
By Period
Studnicka
McCarron
P1
25.0%
56.5%
P2
52.2%
53.2%
P3
33.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
38.5%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Studnicka
40.0%▬
39.5%
37.9%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Jack Studnicka |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Jack Studnicka |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:32 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |