Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kulich wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kulich 46.2% vs McCarron 54.0% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kulich 91.8%
Defensive zone
Kulich 64.1%
Neutral zone
Kulich 71.8%
Result
Jiri Kulich favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Kulich
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kulich
McCarron
Last 7: Kulich 1-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Kulich
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Kulich
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kulich
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (513)
54.2% (756)
-8.8%
Power Play
53.1% (32)
55.6% (9)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (13)
55.1% (158)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Kulich is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (185).
Kulich shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Kulich
McCarron
Home
46.8% (267)
54.6% (445)
Away
44.3% (291)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Kulich
McCarron
P1
45.6%
53.6%
P2
48.0%
55.6%
P3
42.9%
53.7%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kulich
46.0%▲
43.5%
45.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 11:12 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jiri Kulich |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 31, 2025 | 1 | 10:56 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |