Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 51.7% vs McCarron 54.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beecher 58.9%
Defensive zone
Beecher 60.1%
Neutral zone
Beecher 62.1%
Result
John Beecher favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Beecher
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Beecher
McCarron
Last 8: Beecher 2-6 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
3
Beecher
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
0
Beecher
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
Beecher
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (458)
54.2% (756)
-1.4%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
55.6% (9)
+31.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (76)
55.1% (158)
-11.7%
On power play, Beecher has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Beecher is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Beecher shoots left. McCarron is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Beecher
McCarron
Home
53.5% (273)
54.6% (445)
Away
50.6% (269)
54.2% (478)
By Period
Beecher
McCarron
P1
51.1%
53.6%
P2
52.3%
55.6%
P3
52.6%
53.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
52.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:23 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 02:17 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | John Beecher |