Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jooris 47.5% vs McCarron 49.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jooris 55.4%
Defensive zone
Jooris 59.2%
Neutral zone
Jooris 54.9%
Result
Josh Jooris favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Jooris
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jooris
McCarron
Last 6: Jooris 2-4 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Jooris
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Jooris
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jooris
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (149)
48.8% (121)
-3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On power play, Jooris has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Jooris is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (44).
Jooris shoots right. McCarron is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Jooris
McCarron
Home
44.2% (86)
51.7% (60)
Away
48.1% (77)
46.0% (63)
By Period
Jooris
McCarron
P1
47.4%
50.0%
P2
37.5%
40.9%
P3
50.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
56.3%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jooris
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.0%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 3 | 09:07 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Josh Jooris |
| Mar 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:34 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |