Mark Arcobello vs Michael McCarron
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Arcobello wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 53.2% vs McCarron 50.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 61.6%
Defensive zone
McCarron 66.9%
Neutral zone
Arcobello 50.7%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Arcobello
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Arcobello
McCarron
Last 6: Arcobello 3-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
Arcobello
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arcobello
2
1
Arcobello
McCarron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (196)
50.0% (144)
+0.5%
Power Play
70.0% (40)
52.0% (25)
+18.0%
On power play, Arcobello has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Arcobello is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Arcobello shoots right. McCarron is 51.6% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Arcobello
McCarron
Home
57.1% (84)
46.3% (82)
Away
53.2% (158)
54.0% (87)
By Period
Arcobello
McCarron
P1
59.7%
45.5%
P2
52.3%
53.6%
P3
51.9%
53.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
54.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 12:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Feb 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |