Michael Amadio vs Michael McCarron
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Amadio on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Amadio wins 59.5% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Amadio 50.9% vs McCarron 52.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Amadio 57.8%
Defensive zone
McCarron 85.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 72.1%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Amadio
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Amadio
McCarron
Last 5: Amadio 4-1 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Amadio
1
0
Amadio
McCarron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Amadio
3
1
Amadio
McCarron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Amadio
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (128)
54.5% (618)
-2.9%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
42.1% (19)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
35.3% (34)
+31.4%
On penalty kill, Amadio has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Amadio is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (42).
Amadio shoots right. McCarron is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Amadio
McCarron
Home
50.6% (85)
52.2% (339)
Away
53.1% (49)
54.2% (332)
By Period
Amadio
McCarron
P1
62.2%
53.5%
P2
43.2%
50.6%
P3
48.9%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Amadio
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:35 | Neutral | Michael Amadio |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 12:38 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:43 | Defensive | Michael Amadio |