Michael McCarron vs Mika Zibanejad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.5% vs Zibanejad 51.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 70.5%
Defensive zone
McCarron 70.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 54.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
McCarron
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
McCarron
Zibanejad
Last 5: McCarron 3-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
McCarron
Zibanejad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
3
1
McCarron
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (672)
53.4% (770)
-0.3%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
46.2% (39)
-28.0%
Penalty Kill
53.7% (205)
44.7% (141)
+9.0%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. McCarron is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (265).
McCarron shoots right. Zibanejad is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
McCarron
Zibanejad
Home
52.8% (477)
49.0% (429)
Away
52.8% (411)
54.1% (521)
By Period
McCarron
Zibanejad
P1
56.5%
53.0%
P2
53.2%
51.1%
P3
49.0%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 02:54 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 17:07 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 08:54 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |