Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +21.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs McLeod 63.0% (-21.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 84.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 71.5%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 67.9%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Fantilli
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Fantilli
McLeod
Last 8: Fantilli 3-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
1
0
Fantilli
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
5
Fantilli
McLeod
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
64.8% (509)
-21.5%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
68.4% (19)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
65.3% (124)
-65.3%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +65.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. McLeod is 66.7% vs left-shot opponents (496).
Home / Away
Fantilli
McLeod
Home
46.8% (218)
64.3% (308)
Away
39.7% (174)
65.7% (344)
By Period
Fantilli
McLeod
P1
40.3%
62.9%
P2
38.1%
64.8%
P3
54.1%
67.9%
OT
30.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
38.9%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
65.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2024 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 18:24 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 06:28 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:39 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 08:31 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:04 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |