Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lizotte wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lizotte 51.0% vs McLeod 59.6% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lizotte 87.3%
Defensive zone
Lizotte 72.4%
Neutral zone
Lizotte 78.6%
Result
Blake Lizotte favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
Lizotte
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Lizotte
McLeod
Last 6: Lizotte 1-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
3
Lizotte
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Lizotte
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lizotte
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (707)
61.5% (792)
-9.0%
Power Play
46.2% (13)
65.2% (23)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (87)
55.6% (153)
-14.2%
On power play, McLeod has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Lizotte is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lizotte shoots left. McLeod is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (720).
Home / Away
Lizotte
McLeod
Home
51.4% (383)
62.0% (460)
Away
50.9% (424)
59.4% (508)
By Period
Lizotte
McLeod
P1
48.8%
61.5%
P2
51.0%
63.6%
P3
53.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
48.3%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lizotte
46.0%▬
47.0%
51.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Blake Lizotte |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 11:37 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:12 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |