Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Boyle wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — McLeod shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyle 46.2% vs McLeod 56.6% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 54.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 79.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 64.8%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Boyle
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Boyle
McLeod
Last 7: Boyle 4-3 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyle
1
0
Boyle
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Boyle
McLeod
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyle
2
1
Boyle
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyle
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (290)
58.3% (859)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
50.0% (28)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (71)
53.0% (168)
-17.8%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Boyle is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Boyle shoots left. McLeod is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Boyle
McLeod
Home
44.2% (199)
55.3% (526)
Away
46.4% (166)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Boyle
McLeod
P1
48.6%
60.7%
P2
40.4%
55.9%
P3
46.4%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
41.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyle
40.0%▼
42.0%
45.2%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:30 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Brian Boyle |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 12:23 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Brian Boyle |