Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs McLeod 56.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 73.5%
Defensive zone
McLeod 90.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 71.7%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Rodrigues
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
McLeod
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
McLeod
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
McLeod
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
58.3% (859)
-11.1%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
50.0% (28)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
53.0% (168)
-10.7%
On even strength, McLeod has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Rodrigues is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Rodrigues shoots right. McLeod is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
McLeod
Home
49.8% (215)
55.3% (526)
Away
44.4% (171)
59.2% (529)
By Period
Rodrigues
McLeod
P1
44.2%
60.7%
P2
53.5%
55.9%
P3
44.6%
55.2%
OT
40.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 04:41 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 03:13 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:24 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 04:05 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |