Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 51.3% vs Patrick 52.1% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Patrick leads 14-9 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 77.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 73.9%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.5%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
McLeod
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
14
(23 meetings)
9
14
McLeod
Patrick
Last 10: McLeod 3-7 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
4
McLeod
Patrick
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
5
McLeod
Patrick
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
4
5
McLeod
Patrick
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (534)
51.2% (371)
+2.7%
Power Play
59.1% (22)
62.2% (37)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (77)
59.1% (22)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. McLeod is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (296).
McLeod shoots right. Patrick is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Home / Away
McLeod
Patrick
Home
50.5% (275)
48.5% (231)
Away
52.2% (358)
57.3% (199)
By Period
McLeod
Patrick
P1
50.5%
52.0%
P2
56.1%
52.3%
P3
47.7%
53.2%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
51.5%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| May 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:24 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:36 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Michael McLeod |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 08:07 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |