Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). McLeod wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 58.0% vs Oshie 46.4% (+12.0%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 88.2%
Defensive zone
McLeod 91.4%
Neutral zone
Oshie 52.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
McLeod
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
McLeod
Oshie
Last 10: McLeod 7-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
9
McLeod
Oshie
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
6
0
McLeod
Oshie
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
2
McLeod
Oshie
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (2,894)
45.2% (764)
+14.0%
Power Play
57.4% (101)
47.7% (1,221)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
53.5% (525)
40.2% (164)
+13.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. McLeod is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,063).
McLeod shoots right. Oshie is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (478).
Home / Away
McLeod
Oshie
Home
58.2% (1,647)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
58.4% (1,873)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
McLeod
Oshie
P1
58.7%
47.3%
P2
59.9%
45.2%
P3
56.3%
46.7%
OT
63.6%
40.8%
Final 5 min
58.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:28 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:26 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 05:58 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:32 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 13:12 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:33 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 1 | 04:29 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |