Scouting Report
Michael Raffl holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jankowski on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jankowski wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Raffl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 45.7% vs Raffl 50.2% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 86.7%
Defensive zone
Jankowski 50.3%
Neutral zone
Raffl 65.0%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 66.3%
33.7%
66.3%
Jankowski
Raffl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jankowski
Raffl
Last 5: Jankowski 4-1 Raffl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jankowski
1
0
Jankowski
Raffl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
0
1
Jankowski
Raffl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jankowski
3
0
Jankowski
Raffl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Raffl
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (349)
49.7% (183)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (70)
58.3% (12)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Raffl shoots left. Jankowski is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (251).
Jankowski shoots left. Raffl is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Raffl
Home
47.0% (183)
52.1% (94)
Away
43.0% (242)
48.5% (103)
By Period
Jankowski
Raffl
P1
44.5%
51.6%
P2
42.9%
47.3%
P3
47.4%
53.4%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
58.0%▲
52.0%
44.7%
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:59 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Mark Jankowski |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 02:13 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |