Scouting Report
Nicholas Shore holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Raffl on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raffl wins 61.7% vs right-shot opponents — Shore shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raffl 50.2% vs Shore 54.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 64.1%
Defensive zone
Shore 90.8%
Neutral zone
Shore 73.6%
Result
Nicholas Shore favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Raffl
Shore
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Raffl
Shore
Last 5: Raffl 4-1 Shore
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
2
0
Raffl
Shore
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
2
1
Raffl
Shore
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raffl
Shore
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (183)
55.6% (295)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
54.2% (83)
+4.1%
On even strength, Shore has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Shore shoots right. Raffl is 61.7% vs right-shot opponents (60).
Raffl shoots left. Shore is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Raffl
Shore
Home
52.1% (94)
57.9% (221)
Away
48.5% (103)
51.6% (159)
By Period
Raffl
Shore
P1
51.6%
59.2%
P2
47.3%
43.5%
P3
53.4%
62.1%
OT
0.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
42.6%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
50.3%
Shore
62.0%▲
55.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Nicholas Shore |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |