Michael Raffl vs Patrice Bergeron
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Raffl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raffl 45.6% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 82.3%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 94.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 89.1%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 87.5%
12.5%
87.5%
Raffl
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Raffl
Bergeron
Last 6: Raffl 5-1 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
3
0
Raffl
Bergeron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raffl
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raffl
1
0
Raffl
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raffl
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (68)
57.0% (1,376)
-18.8%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
62.8% (323)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.3% (279)
-51.3%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +51.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Raffl is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (34).
Raffl shoots left. Bergeron is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,343).
Home / Away
Raffl
Bergeron
Home
48.1% (27)
59.1% (986)
Away
36.4% (55)
55.1% (992)
By Period
Raffl
Bergeron
P1
45.5%
55.5%
P2
45.2%
58.0%
P3
31.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
40.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2016 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 2 | 13:10 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Jan 25, 2016 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Michael Raffl |
| Oct 21, 2015 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |