Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rasmussen wins 44.2% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rasmussen 45.8% vs Nash 49.8% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 72.7%
Defensive zone
Nash 71.7%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 54.0%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Rasmussen
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Rasmussen
Nash
Last 7: Rasmussen 3-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
2
Rasmussen
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rasmussen
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rasmussen
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (266)
51.2% (283)
-6.5%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
50.0% (2)
-13.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
39.0% (41)
+16.6%
On penalty kill, Rasmussen has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Rasmussen is 44.2% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Rasmussen shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Home / Away
Rasmussen
Nash
Home
42.7% (157)
50.6% (178)
Away
46.2% (145)
48.6% (148)
By Period
Rasmussen
Nash
P1
40.8%
46.8%
P2
45.7%
45.5%
P3
45.8%
56.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
44.4%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 15:11 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:23 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |