Scouting Report
Michael Sgarbossa holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bouma on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Bouma wins 38.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sgarbossa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bouma 45.4% vs Sgarbossa 49.2% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sgarbossa 51.4%
Defensive zone
Bouma 56.9%
Neutral zone
Sgarbossa 50.4%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Bouma
Sgarbossa
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Bouma
Sgarbossa
Last 6: Bouma 3-3 Sgarbossa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
0
1
Bouma
Sgarbossa
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bouma
3
2
Bouma
Sgarbossa
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bouma
Sgarbossa
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (65)
45.0% (20)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sgarbossa shoots left. Bouma is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Bouma shoots left. Sgarbossa is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Bouma
Sgarbossa
Home
42.9% (49)
50.0% (4)
Away
32.0% (25)
43.8% (16)
By Period
Bouma
Sgarbossa
P1
40.5%
33.3%
P2
42.1%
66.7%
P3
33.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bouma
42.0%▲
36.0%
39.2%
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 04:30 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:57 | Neutral | Lance Bouma |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Michael Sgarbossa |