Michael Sgarbossa vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.9% vs 43.8%). Look for Sgarbossa on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Sgarbossa 45.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 54.4%
Defensive zone Nugent-Hopkins 53.4%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 63.3%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 1 (7 meetings)
6
1
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
Last 7: Sgarbossa 6-1 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
3
1
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
1
0
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sgarbossa
2
0
Sgarbossa Nugent-Hopkins
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Sgarbossa
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (296)
45.0% (1,011)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
46.7% (135)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
31.1% (122)
-31.1%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +31.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Sgarbossa is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
44.3% (185)
43.8% (625)
Away
43.4% (129)
43.9% (643)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
43.2%
47.8%
P2
49.1%
39.5%
P3
39.6%
44.2%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
37.5%
45.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%
50.0%
43.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%
50.0%
43.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 22, 2017 2 00:21 Neutral Michael Sgarbossa
Feb 22, 2017 1 18:04 Offensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Feb 22, 2017 1 09:08 Neutral Michael Sgarbossa
Jan 18, 2017 3 11:32 Offensive Michael Sgarbossa
Jan 18, 2017 2 18:08 Offensive Michael Sgarbossa
Jan 18, 2017 2 00:13 Defensive Michael Sgarbossa
Nov 15, 2016 2 04:16 Offensive Michael Sgarbossa