Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sgarbossa 45.4% vs Smith 51.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sgarbossa 51.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 50.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 50.5%
Result
Michael Sgarbossa favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Sgarbossa
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Sgarbossa
Smith
Last 5: Sgarbossa 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Sgarbossa
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sgarbossa
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sgarbossa
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (296)
53.5% (430)
-9.6%
Power Play
53.3% (15)
47.7% (65)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
49.1% (114)
-49.1%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Sgarbossa is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (211).
Sgarbossa shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Sgarbossa
Smith
Home
44.3% (185)
54.0% (298)
Away
43.4% (129)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Sgarbossa
Smith
P1
43.2%
55.4%
P2
49.1%
45.9%
P3
39.6%
54.6%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sgarbossa
46.0%▼
50.0%
43.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 02:01 | Offensive | Michael Sgarbossa |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Zack Smith |