Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McDonald on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDonald wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Handzus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDonald 48.7% vs Handzus 54.4% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDonald 79.9%
Defensive zone
Handzus 77.2%
Neutral zone
McDonald 51.8%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 59.8%
40.2%
59.8%
McDonald
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
McDonald
Handzus
Last 5: McDonald 2-3 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
2
McDonald
Handzus
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDonald
2
1
McDonald
Handzus
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDonald
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (103)
57.4% (357)
-12.7%
Power Play
51.8% (85)
23.8% (21)
+28.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (10)
54.2% (48)
-4.2%
On power play, McDonald has a +28.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. McDonald is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
McDonald shoots left. Handzus is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
McDonald
Handzus
Home
43.8% (105)
57.7% (222)
Away
52.7% (93)
52.9% (204)
By Period
McDonald
Handzus
P1
47.4%
63.0%
P2
48.5%
57.0%
P3
44.9%
50.3%
OT
83.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDonald
56.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2013 | 3 | 04:58 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 4, 2013 | OT | 04:06 | Neutral | Andy McDonald |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Michal Handzus |
| Feb 19, 2013 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |